Grammy 2023 predictions Best New Artist
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As we enter the For Your Consideration period of the 2023 Grammy Awards, it’s time to revisit the conversation around one of the most frequently confusing categories at the annual awards show: Best New Artist. Last year, we dug into the head-scratching slew of nominees, which included Japanese Breakfast, Glass Animals (who have been active for more than a decade), and FINNEAS (who had already won eight Grammy Awards at the time of his nomination in this category). Before Grammy nominations for 2023 are released on Tuesday, November 15th, we’re breaking down everything to know about the Best New Artist category. Who Was Nominated for Best New Artist in 2022?The Academy tends to ultimately grant the Best New Artist to fairly established artists who are having an exceptional breakthrough year. In 2022, the nominees were Olivia Rodrigo, Arooj Aftab, Jimmy Allen, Baby Keem, FINNEAS, Glass Animals, Japanese Breakfast, and The Kid LAROI. As for the past three years, Rodrigo won in 2022, while Megan Thee Stallion took the prize in 2021, and Billie Eilish snagged the honor in 2020. Which Artists are Eligible for Best New Artist in 2023?According to Billboard, a whopping 368 artists have submitted to the category for the 2023 round of nominations. To be eligible, an artist or act must have released a minimum of five songs or one album, may not have submitted for the Best New Artist category more than three times, and must have “achieved a breakthrough into the public consciousness during the eligibility period.” That last point, being a bit vague, is often the cause of confusion when it comes to nominees who land in this category. Who is Not Eligible for This Category at the Grammys?It’s worth mentioning that new artists who have previously received Grammy nominations are ruled ineligible for this category, meaning Steve Lacy, Jack Harlow, and Walker Hayes, for example, were disqualified from Best New Artist status, despite all having the sort of “breakthrough into the public consciousness” that the category describes. How Many Best New Artist Nominees Will There Be?For 2022, the number of nominees in the category jumped from eight to 10. We can expect to see the same amount of nominees for 2023. Who Are Some of the Predicted Likely Nominees in 2023?Nominees might include Brazilian superstar Anitta, Dove Cameron (whose viral single “Boyfriend” unlocked a whole new era for the actress and singer-songwriter), TikTok star Gayle, rising pop artist FLETCHER, and Eurovision sensations Måneskin. Meanwhile, in the country-folk camp, BRELAND, Zach Bryan, Lainey Wilson, and Orville Peck all tossed their names into the mix. Elsewhere, several K-pop groups submitted for consideration, including chart-toppers like TOMORROW X TOGETHER, Stray Kids, TWICE, and SEVENTEEN. Other noteworthy artists fighting for a slot include Amyl and the Sniffers, Omar Apollo, Tenille Arts, beabadoobee, Em Beihold, Blxst, EST Gee, Fireboy DML, Ali Gatie, GloRilla, Cody Johnson, Hayley Kiyoko, Coi Leray, Lil Tjay, The Linda Lindas, Parker McCollum, Mitski, Flo Milli, MUNA, PinkPantheress, Rex Orange County, Rina Sawayama, Soccer Mommy, Don Toliver, Tai Verdes, Remi Wolf, Yahritza Y Su Esencia, Yeat, and Bailey Zimmerman. Indie darlings Wet Leg might earn a nomination; other possible contenders include Joji, Tate McRae, and Conan Gray, the last of whom especially fits the bill of an artist who has been thriving for some time that the Recording Academy loves to slide into Best New Artist. The Grammy Nominations will be announced via livestream Tuesday, November 15th. Who Is Eligible for Best New Artist at the 2023 Grammys? Popular Posts
Subscribe to Consequence’s email digest and get the latest breaking news in music, film, and television, tour updates, access to exclusive giveaways, and more straight to your inbox. With the exception of a few to-be-expected head-scratching picks, the Big 4 Awards are headlined by Bad Bunny bringing Spanish language into the general field for the first time, Kendrick Lamar and Harry Styles showing up big, and a Beyonce and Adele rematch after 25 and Lemonade went head-to-head back in 2017 — remember when a tearful Adele famously snapped her award in half and gave part of it to Queen Bey? In fact, Beyonce’s leading nine nominations put her in a tie for the most of all-time, incredibly, with her husband Jay-Z who picked up five 2023 noms of his own. Based on the Grammys’ history of giving out awards to whoever has the most obvious combination of commercial success and critical acclaim, here are our best guesses for who will be adding some golden gramophones to their mantle when winter rolls around. If you’re wondering where Midnights is, the eligibility period spans from October 2021 to September 2022. Album of the YearABBA – Voyage Adele – 30 Bad Bunny – Un Verano Sin Ti Beyonce – RENAISSANCE Brandi Carlile – In These Silent Days Coldplay – Music of the Spheres Harry Styles – Harry’s House Kendrick Lamar – Mr. Morale & The Big Steppers Lizzo – Special Mary J. Blige – Good Morning Gorgeous You won’t find a bigger Grammy darling than Adele, who has won 13 of the 13 awards she’s been nominated for since the release of her breakthrough project, 21. But after a more muted reception to her latest, Adele publicly criticizing the show during her last victory speech, and a restructuring of the Grammy voter base inviting more members of colour on board that’s heralded wins considered less “safe” for acts like Billie Eilish and Jon Batiste, you have to image that the Recording Academy might want to make up for 2017. Truthfully, no album defined 2022 like Bad Bunny’s, but we’ll certainly take Beyonce’s mind-bending dance music pivot as consolation. Watch for the high-selling Harry’s House or a long-overdue Kendrick Lamar to play spoiler, as the two racked up nominations elsewhere. Will Win: RENAISSANCE Record of the YearABBA – “Don’t Shut Me Down” Adele – “Easy On Me” Beyonce – “BREAK MY SOUL” Brandi Carlile – “You and Me on the Rock (Ft. Lucius)” Doja Cat – “Woman” Harry Styles – “As It Was” Kendrick Lamar – “The Heart Part 5” Lizzo – “About Damn Time” Mary J. Blige – “Good Morning Gorgeous” Steve Lacy – “Bad Habit” While Adele’s album as a whole might not have connected with the general public as much as her past releases, you still have to expect her to pick up a couple awards – and a comeback single as agreeable as “Easy On Me” might have voters scrambling to add to her total as soon as they hear the vocal runs on the back end. This one usually goes to an inescapable #1 hit, and if they just want to award the most successful song of the year, it could be Harry’s to lose. Other possibilities include Beyonce padding her lead as the most-awarded woman in history, or the academy recognizing the new normal of TikTok-fuelled smashes from Lizzo and Steve Lacy. Will
Win: “Easy On Me” Song of the YearAdele – “Easy On Me” Beyonce – “BREAK MY SOUL” Bonnie Raitt – “Just Like That” DJ Khaled – “GOD DID (Ft. Rick Ross, Lil Wayne, Jay-Z, John Legend & Fridayy)” GAYLE – “abcdefu” Harry Styles – “As It Was” Kendrick Lamar – “The Heart Part 5” Lizzo – “About Damn Time” Steve Lacy – “Bad Habit” Taylor Swift – “All Too Well (10 Minute Version)” Here’s your yearly reminder: Record of the Year is for the song itself, but Song of the Year is focused on the message and lyrical composition, going to the songwriter – that’s why you see a couple more poetic tracks pop up here. The Grammys have awarded a couple tracks focused on social justice in this category in recent years, so Kendrick Lamar has a great chance – but another superstar the Grammys can’t seem to stay away from has crashed the party with a track that might contain the most songwriting of any track in the category’s history. While we love Jay-Z’s breathless 4-minute verse being recognized on “GOD DID,” Taylor Swift did more than double that with her updated 2012 anthem. Of course, Adele and Beyonce could keep stomping through the competition here as well. Will Win: “All Too Well (10 Minute Version)” Best New ArtistAnitta Domi & JD Beck Latto Måneskin Molly Tuttle Muni Long Omar Apollo Samara Joy Tobe Nwigwe Wet Leg After victories in recent years from acts like Billie Eilish, Megan Thee Stallion, Dua Lipa and Olivia Rodrigo, 2022’s Best New Artist class doesn’t have an obvious, hit-making frontrunner. Anitta is a global superstar at a ceremony that’s unfortunately still lagging behind when it comes to recognizing music in other languages. Latto scored a smash hit with “Big Energy” this year, but she doesn’t have the critically acclaimed catalogue of her predecessors. The acts here picking up the most nominations in other categories are actually R&B singer Muni Long and indie-rock outfit Wet Leg. Since Long has been behind the scenes across multiple genres in the industry for over a decade, we’ll give her the slight edge when you consider who’s voting. Will Win: Muni Long Best Pop Vocal AlbumABBA – Voyage Adele – 30 Coldplay – Music of the Spheres Harry Styles – Harry’s House Lizzo – Special The pop category is frequently a big prognosticator for the biggest award of the night, as it’s often filled up with Album of the Year nominees. This year is no exception, and based on how the rest of the night plays out in the other categories, this one should come down to a clash of the Brits as 30 takes on Harry’s House. If you’re wondering where Beyonce is, she submitted RENAISSANCE to the dance categories, where it should pick up a couple surefire victories. Will Win:30 Best Alternative AlbumArcade Fire – WE Big Thief – Dragon New Warm Mountain I Believe In You Björk – Fossora Wet Leg – Wet Leg Yeah Yeah Yeahs – Cool It Down Often one of the most interesting categories due to the indie darlings from a variety of different sounds and genres getting grouped together, this year’s field leans towards indie-rock after last year’s victory for St. Vincent in a historically all-female field. Not only does art pop royalty Björk’s album stand out among the pack in terms of its sound, but this makes her the most-nominated artist in the history of the category with nine — and she’s never won once, going 0 for 15 in her Grammy history. This might be the moment to give her an award to make up for all of that, as more of a career retrospective. Still, Big Thief has been a Grammy favourite in recent years, while Wet Leg broke into the Big 4. Will Win: Fossora Best Rock AlbumThe Black Keys – Dropout Boogie Elvis Costello & The Imposters – The Boy Named If IDLES – CRAWLER Machine Gun Kelly – Mainstream Sellout Ozzy Osbourne – Patient Number 9 Spoon – Lucifer on the Sofa A category often criticized for sticking with the aging legends rather than looking to the genre’s future, Twitter responded this morning with a resounding “not like that!” when the voters switched gears and threw a nomination to Machine Gun Kelly. It’s great to see IDLES get some recognition amongst longtime favourites, and Spoon picked up their first-ever nomination this year for the critical smash hit Lucifer on the Sofa. But if we’re combining acclaim and chart success, Ozzy could pick up his 5th trophy for his celebrated album loaded with guests the voters are sure to love. Will Win:Patient Number 9 Best R&B AlbumChris Brown – Breezy Lucky Daye – Candy Drip Mary J. Blige – Good Morning Gorgeous PJ Morton – Watch The Sun Robert Glasper – Black Radio III Year after year, the more interesting picks in the R&B field are moving on over to the “Best Progressive R&B Album” field – just check out Steve Lacy and Tank and the Bangas doing battle over there. With a couple of more traditionally-oriented favourites in this category that we seem to see almost every year, an unwelcome surprise from Chris Brown with his overlong Breezy, and a legitimate Album of the Year contender, we’re willing to bet that Mary J. will walk away with this one – and it’s the best album of the bunch as well. Will Win:Good Morning Gorgeous Best Rap AlbumDJ Khaled – GOD DID Future – I NEVER LIKED YOU Jack Harlow – Come Home The Kids Miss You Kendrick Lamar – Mr. Morale & The Big Steppers Pusha T – It’s Almost Dry There’s not another category that drew more ire from the online crowd when it came to these nominations. Historically one of the Grammys’ biggest blind spots, with a seemingly different approach to deciding the contenders each year, seeing DJ Khaled and Jack Harlow among the names in a fantastic year for hip-hop certainly rubbed some the wrong way. While it’s great to see Pusha T’s second nod in the category and, shockingly, the endlessly influential Future’s first, the sprawling opus that is Mr. Morale & The Big Steppers should have the most widespread appeal and important messaging to push it over the edge and give Kendrick his third straight win here. Will Win: Mr. Morale & The Big Steppers Best Country AlbumAshley McBryde – Ashley McBryde Presents: Lindeville Luke Combs – Growin’ Up Maren Morris – Humble Quest Miranda Lambert – Palomino Willie Nelson – A Beautiful Time While the lack of one of country’s biggest rising stars in Zach Bryan from both this field and Best New Artist might be the most puzzling snub of the entire ceremony, the winners here have leaned towards big-name storytellers with crossover appeal like Chris Stapleton and Kacey Musgraves. Luke Combs, still racking up big streaming numbers and scoring a rare country top 10 hit off of Growin’ Up, seems to fit the bill – although Maren Morris’ team-ups with some well-known pop songwriters on her latest heralded some great results as well. Will Win:
Growin’ Up The 2023 GRAMMYs take place Sunday, Feb. 5 | MORE INFO Who is nominated for Best New Artist Grammy 2023?The Best New Artist nominees for the 2023 Grammy Awards have been announced. Omar Apollo, Wet Leg, Latto, Domi & JD Beck, and Anitta are all in the running. Also nominated in the category are Måneskin, Molly Tuttle, Muni Long, Samara Joy, and Tobe Nwigwe.
Who will be nominated for GRAMMYs 2023?For albums containing greater than 50% playing time of new pop vocal recordings.. Voyage. ABBA.. Adele.. Music Of The Spheres. Coldplay.. Special. Lizzo.. Harry's House. Harry Styles.. Who is nominated for Best New Artist?Meet This Year's Best New Artist Nominees | 2022 GRAMMYs Awards Show. Arooj Aftab. A singer, composer, and producer hailing from Lahore, Pakistan, Arooj Aftab has been working hard to get her music heard since the early 2000s. ... . Jimmie Allen. ... . Baby Keem. ... . FINNEAS. ... . Glass Animals. ... . Japanese Breakfast. ... . The Kid LAROI. ... . Arlo Parks.. Will BTS be nominated for a Grammy 2023?This year has been a bittersweet rollercoaster journey for BTS and ARMY. Fans of the K-Pop band were pleased after the team garnered three nominations at the Grammys 2023—the fifth time overall—following the news of required military service and solo album talks.
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